Show me the muny
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Posted by: chanctw

Original: 11/28/2005 12:33 AM
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Monday, November 28, 2005

 One day a friend and I were having a conversation about how one can make money even when studying full-time in university.

I: Many people believe that going to school is money forgone, because they wouldn't be able to work full-time. There are actually many ways you can make money even while in school.

Friend: Yeah, of course there are tons of ways to do that.

I: Like smart investing. It really brings in big and fast cash.

Friend: Or tutoring. You make like $25 an hour.


Which brings me to the topic of the day. Thanks to the North American educational system, most university students, even many grads, remain ignorant or risk-averse when it comes to investing. They believe that finding a good job and working hard at it is the best way to become rich. It amused me that my friend compared potential profits from stock investing with tutoring.

In my top drawer, there are things that many students have in their possession: DVDs, notes, paper clips. There is also a piece of crumbled paper stub: my first paycheque from the provincial Ministry of Finance, where I worked as an IT analyst. $1767, the stub recorded, for two months' worth of work, less $122 Employment Insurance and $187 Canada Pension Plan.

This stub serves as a reminder of why I got into stocks in the first place, and why I must stay in stocks in the present and in the future. It keeps me honest and reminds me of where I came from. It has been a long time since I realized that relying solely on paycheques is almost never enough to make a decent living and enjoy necessities later on in life. Finding a "good" job and working hard at it is not the bullet-proof formula to a good life and the riches. Long hours at work, personal income taxes, federal and provincial government deductions... these are merely the tip of the iceberg of why one may not find the big dollar signs and happiness in these so-called "good" jobs at the end of tax season.

Investing in stocks is a risky business. However, investing well in stocks, while in school or already working full-time, would generate a rate of return almost always higher than one's average day job. Or much, much more than the $25 / hour that one earns from tutoring.
 Posted 11/28/2005 12:33 AM - 1 view - 8 comments

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Visit JoeTheScribe's Xanga Site!
wil, you will get rich soon. i believe in you
but remmember to teach me those investment things

does your maths skills help you a lot in investing? if so, how?
Posted 11/28/2005 12:57 AM by JoeTheScribe - reply

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Hi William, a good friend of mine read your post. He sent me back an email saying it's ok for me to post it here.

-----

it’s hard to say an opinion is right or wrong... it's just that based on the facts that he
had, he made a good conclusion.

as for using money to make money....
it's a tough call because first you have to have the money to start
with. A steady stream either coming from your job or your current
investments.

your friend is thinking on the right track and that's empowering
himself to use money to make money. Those gains this past week were
sporadic and appears that most of the good news is already priced into
the stocks. Things can't get any better is terms of taxation for
dividends and income trusts.

To add on to your friend's point, it's also key that you don't
buy/sell stocks regularly because: 1) buy/sell triggers transaction
costs, this ranges from $20 to $30 for each trade
2) it also triggers capital gains (assuming you make money) tax.
Although the inclusion rate is 50% of your marginal rate it's still
detrimental to a portfolio's returns in the long run.
3) opportunity cost, and that's using your time to do things that
"really matter" to you. I find some ppl get too wrapped up with the
stocks they've bought that they lose what really matters to their
lives.

As you know, i've seen many ppl ruined from the Year 2000 crash and
lots of ppl lots of a lot of money, and consumer confidence is once
again building, and always repeats itself. This irrational exuberance
is what makes behavioural finance more accepted this day in age.

For us, the way to go is

since we have small portfolios to begin with the best way is to
start with a mutual fund. Invest regularly, like $1000 a month.
Although if you have a lump sum, it's probably best to invest it right
away to get that money working for you sooner, and mathematically it
makes the most sense cuz markets rise and you don't want to average
into a higher unit price. Also funds are the stress free way to go for
portfolios under $300k. It's a reasonable fee they charge now. 1-2%
fee. There are many solid funds out there, CIBC Monthly Income Fund
1-YR ROR 16%, TD Monthly Income Fund 1-YR ROR 11%, BMO Dividend Fund
1-YR ROR 15%, this is after the fact that fees have been paid. Funds
is excellent because with the right brokerage, they won't charge you $
to buy or sell funds, you're in it for the long term, lower turnover,
and its professionally managed. It's hard to achieve diversification
with stocks with a small portfolio so you're taking on more risk with
the potential of the same returns vs funds.

once you have a portfolio of $300k or more and have more knowledge
of your risk tolerance then start investing in stocks using a
discipline approach.

I guess that's a way to make money. Also it doesn't hurt to have a job
that pays $100+k a year. From what i see at work, all my bosses are
pretty rich. And from what they've told me it's so much easier to get
rich from owning a business and keeping those profits. The challenge
is finding that business and making it work, but the benefits are
there. Instead of raking in $250k a year from a job, you can make $1MM
easily with a business-to-business venture and then cash out in
several years selling the business for $10-20MM easily. now the key
with that is patience and hard work and of course smarts, and sales
skills.
Posted 11/28/2005 2:09 PM by johnlai2004 - reply

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Joe: Maybe my answer would surprise you, but I only use grade 8 math when it comes to investing: addition, substraction, multiplication, and division. I know that many people are firm believers of technical analysis. However, the stock market is a battlefield. There is no free lunch for everybody. When one gains, another has to lose. So when I think about the presence of smartest and brightest people on Wall Street with supercomputers screaming around them 24 hours with non-stop streaming data from all over the world, I know that my intelligence and resources are way too limited to reap significant profits using technical analysis.

Perhaps my investment philosophy is simpler than you might think. I keep up-to-date with the news everyday, invest in stocks with good fundamentals in growing markets, and subscribe to www.fool.com for a list of recommendations. All the mathematical calculations and complex analysis I leave it to the expert analysts to decipher, and I am willing to pay a fee to have access to all that information that would've taken me days or even weeks to compile.

I know some people are into day-trading, and they sit in front of their computers all days and everyday in hope of benefiting from the +0.50 or +1.00 incremental profits. Frankly, that is not my style and it is way too time-consuming. So, instead of "micro"-managing stocks to determine the exact optimal time to buy/sell a stock down to the second, I tend to "macro"-manage stocks.

So, in response to your question, the accounting skills I am learning now in school are far more useful than the math skills I learned in Electrical Engineering. Balance sheets, income statements, cash flows, costing methods... these are the things that I use to compile portfolio, not vector calculus or 10-dimensional matrices.

Posted 11/28/2005 4:35 PM by chanctw - reply

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To John's friend: thanks for your long and thoughtful comment.

Your thoughts about starting up a business and its potentials to generate $ being far superior to working a day-job coincide with mine. If you ask John, you would know that my eventual goal is to start a business.

Perhaps I made it sound as if I root for the ideas of quitting one's job and solely focusing on investing, or day-trading. I agree with your points about opportunity costs, capital gains tax, and brokerage commissions; that is why I do not day-trade. The difference between investing and day-trading is that, in the former I would select stocks with which I view every downside as a buying opportunity rather than a misfortune, because I know they have the right fundamentals to rise again. I know that, instead of a signal to sell, these price drops are in fact value discounts offered to me by the market, similar to the Boxing Day sales that you see in retail stores. Day-trading, however, is a different entity altogether. It is time-consuming, expensive, and risky, because a downside in these stocks would mean a signal to stop loss and sell. I hope I have made it clear that, day-trading is not my cup of tea.

For example, take Royal Bank (RY: tsx) and Baidu (BIDU: nyse). The former is an investment type stock, while the latter is a day-trading stock. With RY, it consistently rose from $6x to $90 now, amounting to a 30%+ growth per year. As I am sure you know, RY also offers around 3% dividend year on top of that, and it is a blue-chip financial institution that dominates the entire Canada along with the other Big 5 banks. 30%+ growth far exceeds anything that any mutual funds can offer, perhaps with the exception of the Energy Fund this year. But then again, in 2005 if you bought any med or large cap oil stocks you would've made a killing anyway.

Baidu, on the other hand, is the kind of stock that fits your three categories: requires high transaction fees, generates capital gains, and very time-consuming to monitor its movements. That is why I do not touch it.

It makes sense that diversification prevents one to put all eggs in one basket, so when the market goes wrong one would not get entirely screwed. But, there are certain sectors that do not call for the need to diversify on the tse, such as the aforementioned Royal Bank. However, disasters like CIBC in the Enron lawsuit do happen from time to time, and that is precisely why I keep myself up to date with current news to recognize dangers looming in the horizon. If one diversifies excessively, he would most likely generate merely moderate returns. That is why, I do not contribute my hard-earned dollars to mutual funds. Instead, I attempt to track the actions of mutual funds due to their influence on the market, and act accordingly to my maximum benefit.

Now, all these things are done so that the capital will be there when I start a business. When one owns a business, certainly he would benefit from the perks: tax credits due to expenses, flexibility of work hours (tho being a boss, some say, is a 24-hour job)... etc.

And at the end of the day, that is truly the best way to become wealthy. It would be even better to be able to find something in which one is genuinely interested and make money from that, because making big dollars at the expense of happiness is far from being a good cause.

Posted 11/28/2005 5:11 PM by chanctw - reply

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williams, i think this is your best post ever.
Posted 11/28/2005 7:28 PM by johnlai2004 - reply

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haha really? so all my previous efforts were for naught?!
Posted 11/28/2005 11:31 PM by chanctw - reply

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Pretty much :P... j/k...
I like this post as well, including john's friends response. I think though, that you're both correct on some issues... obviously you're more knowledgeable than I am. You have to actually have a good sum of money to get started, that's a given. If you're going Williams' way, how much is one share/stock of royal bank? Sure, banks are your best bet, and the safest (unless the aforementioned scandals occur).

Posted 11/29/2005 9:38 AM by GrobSMG - reply

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"You have to actually have a good sum of money to get started, that's a given. If you're going Williams' way, how much is one share/stock of royal bank?"

Royal Bank share is $88 / share. And in response to your comment that you need lots of money to get started, my answer to you is: STOCK OPTIONS. Limited risk, but the potential gain is several times the money you put in initially. So now this is no longer a valid excuse for you to stay away from stocks.

Posted 12/4/2005 9:07 PM by chanctw - reply


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